GOOD CO2
Center
for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change
May 29, 2002 * Volume 5, Number 22
http://www.co2science.org/edit/v5_edit/v5n22edit.htm
Respiratory
Diseases and CO2: A Third Perspective
In
our Editorial of 10 April 2002, we discussed the claim of the associate director
of Harvard Medical School's Center for Health and the Global Environment that
elevated levels of atmospheric CO2 will boost production of plant propagative
elements and lead to enhanced production of allergy-producing pollen in ragweed
plants, highlighting what he called a "need to reduce carbon dioxide
levels" (Perspective No. 1).
Our
response (Perspective No. 2) was that a potential increase in pollen-induced
allergies was but a small price to pay for the concomitant CO2-induced increase
in agricultural production that is desperately needed to provide the food
required to avoid the starvation of untold millions of people a mere couple of
decades down the road; and we thus suggested that we let the historical and
still-ongoing rise in the air's CO2 content run its natural course. In this
editorial, we present yet a third view of the issue (Perspective No. 3) that
provides even more support for our position.
We
take as the text for our sermon the recent paper of Prospero (2001), who is a
world authority on airborne dust. The eminent scientist - who is a professor in
the Division of Marine and Atmospheric Chemistry at the Rosenstiel School of
Marine and Atmospheric Science, as well as director of the Cooperative Institute
of Marine and Atmospheric Studies - begins his review of the subject by noting
that large quantities of dust can be carried great distances across both the
Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. From Africa, for example, he informs us that
periodic dust storms carry great burdens of soil-derived particulates
"eastward across the Middle East and the Arabian Sea, north over the
Mediterranean to Europe, and west across the tropical Atlantic to North and
South America." Likewise, he notes that "every spring, frontal storms
emerging from Siberia generate large quantities of dust in China," some of
which weather disturbances "move eastward over the North Pacific and across
the northern United States and Canada," until they finally dissipate and
drop the remainder of their dust load over the North Atlantic.
Because
this dust is carried such long distances, what remains when it reaches the
Americas is usually of very small size. In fact, about half of the dust
particles are small enough to be deeply inhaled. Furthermore, says Prospero,
"the dust particles are heavily coated with iron," such that "the
average iron content of all dust particles from Africa is 3 to 5%." Why is
this important? Because, as he continues, "a substantial fraction of the
iron on dust could be quickly released into the lungs once the particles are
deposited on lung tissue," and iron, as Prospero notes, is
"particularly efficient in producing an inflammatory response in the
lungs."
As
if this were not enough of a problem, Prospero indicates that substantial
numbers of pathogenic fungi, bacteria and viruses capable of infecting humans
hitch a ride on the African dust particles and survive the trans-Atlantic trip.
What is more, they fulfill their potential for raising havoc upon their arrival
in the Americas. He notes, for example, that "reports from Caribbean
islands show that emergency room visits for asthma and other respiratory
illnesses increase markedly during African dust events." And from the
Caribbean islands, the dust goes on to visit - and provide the potential to
infect - nearly everyone in the United States living east of the Mississippi
River.
So
what has all of this to do with CO2? First of all, on the meteorological side of
the coin, if the earth warms as climate models predict it will, there should be
a concomitant increase in the planet's hydrologic cycle; and enhanced global
precipitation would help to "settle the dust" nearly everywhere on
earth, both in source regions and across the long intercontinental and
trans-oceanic routes of its aerial transport. Second - and contrary to the
claims of the world's climate alarmists - both the frequency and the intensity
of the storms that lift and transport dust would likely decline in a warming
world, as indicated by the many pertinent research articles we have reviewed on
our website (see, for example, Weather Extremes in our Subject Index).
Then
there's the even more important biological aspect of the issue. A doubling of
the air's CO2 content typically leads to increases of anywhere from 20 to 80% in
plant growth rates, while it simultaneously reduces plant transpiration rates,
so that plant water use efficiency, or biomass production per unit of water
transpired, increases even more than plant growth as the atmosphere's CO2
concentration rises. Hence, with this CO2-conferred ability to produce more
biomass with less water, plants of the future will be able to grow and reproduce
over large areas of the earth where it has previously been too dry for them to
even exist; and these areas are the very regions that serve as the planet's
major sources of windblown dust.
Consequently,
with greater vegetative cover - in some cases, almost infinitely greater - it
will be far more difficult for winds of the future to erode the soils of these
regions and spread their constituent particles abroad in the earth, as they do
today. And this reduction in windblown dust, which comes courtesy of the
biological benefits of atmospheric CO2 enrichment, should greatly reduce the
worldwide incidence of the host of respiratory diseases that result from
inhaling iron-coated particles covered with pathogenic fungi, bacteria and
viruses, which are considerably more effective in terms of inducing illness than
- shall we say - mere pollen.
Clearly,
therefore, mandating reductions in anthropogenic CO2 emissions with the stated
goal of enhancing human health would not only be an enormous wasted effort; it
would actually tend to do just the opposite of what its proponents claim it
would, i.e., it would degrade human health.
Dr.
Sherwood B. Idso President Dr.
Keith E. Idso Vice President
Reference
Prospero, J.M. 2001.
African dust in America. Geotimes
46 (11): 24-27.
Copyright
© 2002. Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change
(www.co2science.org).